Bayesian Estimation and Prediction for Exponentiated Rayleigh Distribution Based on Lower Records
Fahmeeda F. Shaikh
, M. N. Patel
Abstract
In this article, we aim to estimate the parameters of exponentiated Rayleigh distribution(ERD) based on lower record values. Record values arise naturally in many real life situations involving data related to meteorology, sports, economics, events, life testing and weather studies. The estimates are derived using maximum likelihood method and Bayesian method considering squared error loss function, k-loss function and general entropy loss function. Prediction for future record values is presented from a Bayesian view point. Simulation studies are carried out and mean squared errors are calculated to compare the performance of the estimators. Predicted values are compared with the actual values for the given data sets. A real data set is used to demonstrate the methods considered in the paper.
References
1. Asgharzadeh; Estimation and prediction for Exponentiated family of distributions based on records, Journal communication in Statistics theory and methods, 40 68-83(2011).
2. Asgharzadeh; R. Valiollah; M. Abdi; Point and interval estimation for the logistic distribution based on record data. Stat. Oper. Res. Trans. 40 1-24(2016).
3. C. Arnold;, N. Balakrishnan; H. N. Nagaraja; Records, Wiley, New York, (1998).
4. F. Gauss; Least Squares Method for the Combinations of Observation, (Translated by J. Bertrand 1955), Mallet-Bachelier, Paris, France, (1810).
5. H. Jeffrey; Theory of probability and inference, 3rd ed., Cambridge University press, London, 1961.
6. J. Bernardo; Reference posterior distributions for Bayesian inference (with discussion), Journal of Royal Stat. Soc. 41 113-147(1979).
7. J. I. Seo; S. B. Kang; More efficient approaches to the Exponentiated Half Logistic Distribution based on record values, Springer plus, 5 1433(2016).
8. J. Seo; Y. Kim; Approximated information analysis in Bayesian inference. Entropy 17 1441- 1451 (2015).
9. K. N. Chandler; The distribution and frequency of record values, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society- B, 14 220- 228(1952).
10. Legendre; New Method for the Deamination of Orbits of Comets, Courcier, Paris, France, (1805).
11. M. Ahsanullah; Introduction to Record Statistics, NOVA Science Publishers Inc., Huntington, New York, (1995).
12. M.T. Wasan; Parametric Estimation, McGraw- Hill Book Company, New York, (1970).
13. R. Calabria; G. Pulcini; An engineering approach to Bayes estimation for the Weibull distribution, Micro-electron Reliability, 34 789-802(1994 ).
14. R. Calabria; G. Pulcini; Point estimation under asymmetric loss functions for left truncated exponential samples, Communication in Statistics-Theory and Methods, 25(3) 585- 600(1996).
15. V. Nevzorov; Records: mathematical theory. Translation of Mathematical Monographs, Vol. 194, Amer. Math. Soc., Providence, (2001).