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Vol 7, No 2 :

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Temporal Point Process Models for Nepal Earthquake Aftershocks
Rupal Shah , K. Muralidharan , Ayush Parajuli
Abstract

The study of the sequence of earthquakes and the aftershocks caused by the main shock is vital for several reasons. To list a few of them - the severe threat for people living in earthquake-prone locations, the loss or damage of public and private properties, the pattern and duration of aftershocks, to forecast the risk and time of the next major shock, etc. This article aims to study the pattern of the very deadly earthquake and the sequence of aftershocks followed by the main shock, which occurred in Nepal on April 26, 2015. Several stochastic models have been proposed in the literature to analyze point process data of this kind. This paper has discussed self-exciting point process models, ETAS models, marked point process models, etc. Methods of estimating parameters and checking the goodness of fit of the models also have been discussed. The analyses have been done using R programming.
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ISSN(P) 2350-0174

ISSN(O) 2456-2378

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