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Vol 7, No 3 :

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Unlocking India during Covid-19 Pandemic: A Data Driven Investigation
Tousifur Rahman , Krishnarjun Bora , Manash Pratim Barman , Kuldeep Goswami , Chandan Borgohain
Abstract
Background and Aims:To decelerate the infection of Covid-19 with obstructive tactics is the first aim of all the countries. Most of the countries considered lockdown as a first preventive measure to decrease the infection of Covid-19 and accordingly several countries announced lockdown. The Govt. of India also announced lockdown in four phases as a preventive measure to reduce the infection of Covid-19 and began unlocking thereafter. This study was conducted to evaluate thedecision of Govt. of India to unlock the nation in terms of infections and deaths.
Method: The study period is from post first lockdown to pre unlock 1.0, i.e. from 15th April to 7th June. The data on daily infected cases and death due to Covid-19 virus of all the states/UTs of India are collected from www.covid19india.org. Hierarchical cluster analysis and dendogram is used to stratify and display the states/UT’s with respect to daily cases and death. Linear trend analysis is used to study the rate ofrelative change of infections and deathsof States/UT’s representing different clusters. To check the linearity in trend Sen’s Slope and Mann-Kendall methods areused.
Result: From pictorial representation of dendogram the researchers have found 4 to 5 prominent clusters of states and union territories for daily rate of relative change in infected and death cases respectively during 15th April 2020 to 7th June 2020. From the trend analysis, it is seen that, for India as a whole, threat of relative changes of infection and death is decreasing in a linear manner. However, union territory like Delhi showed increasing behaviour in changes.
Conclusion: The decision in respect of unlocking the country in a phased manner should have been based on state wise pattern of daily infection and death cases.
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References

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ISSN(P) 2350-0174

ISSN(O) 2456-2378

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